|
My
first
reaction
when
I
read
an
article
on
this
site
by
Arnold
Bock
-
articulating
why
gold
would
go
to
$10,000
– by
2012
no
less
-
was
amazement.
Who
in
their
right
mind
would
suggest
that
gold
would
eventually
reach
$2,500,
let
alone
$5,000
or
even
$10,000?
Well,
I
did
some
investigation
and,
believe
it
or
not,
Bock
is
in
lofty
company.
Many
respected
individuals,
such
as
David
Rosenberg,
Peter
Schiff,
Harry
Schultz,
Rob
McEwen
and
many
others,
have
come
to
the
same
conclusion.
Below
is a
partial
list
of
such
individuals
with
sound
reasons
to
substantiate
their
views.
1.
Peter
Schiff:
As
President
&
Chief
Global
Strategist
of
Euro
Pacific
Capital,
Schiff
correctly
called
the
current
bear
market
before
it
began.
As a
result
of
his
accurate
forecasts
on
the
U.S.
stock
market,
economy,
real
estate,
the
mortgage
meltdown,
credit
crunch,
subprime
debacle,
commodities,
gold
and
the
dollar,
he
is
becoming
increasingly
more
renowned.
He
recently
was
reported
in
Business
Week
as
saying
that
"People
are
afraid
of
the
debasement
of
all
the
currencies.
What's
surprising
is
that
gold
is
still
as
low
as
it
is
...
Gold
could
reach
$5,000
to
$10,000
per
ounce
in
the
next
5 to
10
years.”
Source:
http://www.thecapitalgoldgroup.com/2010/06/where-is-gold-headed-from-here.html
2.
David
Rosenberg:
Rosenberg,
the
former
Merrill
Lynch
North
American
Economist
and
current
Chief
Economist
and
Strategist
for
Gluskin
Sheff,
an
independent
investment
firm
for
high
net
worth
individuals,
believes
that
"$3000
an
ounce
on
gold
may
yet
prove
to
be a
conservative
forecast."
He
went
on
to
say:
-
"if
the
gold
price
to
world
GDP
ratio
were
to
ever
scale
up
to
the
peak
three
decades
ago,
it
would
imply
an
ultimate
peak
for
gold
of
$5,300
an
ounce.
-
if
the
relationship
between
gold
and
the
M3
money
measure
where
to
revert
to
the
1990
high,
then
gold
would
move
to
$5,700
an
ounce.
-
if
gold
were
merely
put
on
the
same
footing
as
the
CPI,
and
head
back
to
the
previous
peaks
in
this
ratio,
it
would
suggest
$2,300
as
the
peak
in
gold
—
only
a
double
from
here.
-
if
the
gold
price-M1
ratio
was
used
then
gold
would
go
to
$3,100
per
ounce
under
the
proviso
that
prior
highs
get
re-established."
Source
http://www.thecapitalgoldgroup.com/2010/06/gold-is-increasingly-being-vie.html
3.
Alf
Field:
Alf
Field
has
been
called
the
“world’s
best
gold
analyst.”
He
is
well
known
for
his
many
spot-on
predictions
in
the
precious
metals
market
and
these
are
some
of
his
determinations
regarding
the
future
price
of
gold;
a)
"In
the
1970's
bull
market,
gold
increased
from
a
low
of
$35
to a
peak
of
$850,
a
massive
24.3
times
the
low
price.
If
the
current
bull
market
was
to
be
of
the
same
order,
then
one
could
project
an
ultimate
peak
of
$6,221
(gold’s
low
price
in
the
current
cycle
of
$256
x
24.3).
b)
Field
outlined
in
an
article
back
in
August
2003
his
conviction,
which
he
referred
to
again
in
his
concluding
November
2008
article
on
the
subject
of
Elliott
Wave
and
the
gold
price,
"that
the
world,
and
especially
the
USA,
was
heading
for
a
major
financial
crisis
that
would
be
so
powerful
that
it
would
overwhelm
all
other
factors
[which]
I
referred
to
as
the
'Big
Kahuna'
crisis.
I
anticipated
that
the
Big
Kahuna
would
give
rise
to
the
risk
of a
systemic
meltdown,
which
would
result
in
the
authorities
'throwing
money
at
problems',
bailing
out
all
the
banks
and
large
corporations
that
got
into
trouble.
This
would
lead
to
the
[eventual]
destruction
of
the
currency...The
consequence
of
the
systemic
meltdown
would
be a
vast
increase
in
newly
created
money
which
would
result
in a
massive
rise
in
the
price
of
gold"
culminating
in a
"Major
FIVE...to
$10,000"
[which]
"can
really
only
be
possible
in a
runaway
inflationary
environment,
something
which
many
thinking
people
are
suggesting
has
become
a
possibility
as a
result
of
the
actions
taken
during
the
recent
crisis."
[Indeed,]
"the
odds
strongly
favour
an
inflationary
outcome.
Given
a
strong
will
and
the
ability
to
create
any
amount
of
new
money
via
the
electronic
money
machine,
it
seems
a
foregone
conclusion
that
runaway
inflation
will
be
the
end
result.
If
Mugabe
could
do
it
in
Zimbabwe,
there
seems
little
doubt
that
Ben
Bernanke
and
his
associates
in
other
countries
will
have
no
trouble
in
doing
it
too."
Source:
http://www.gold-speculator.com/alf-field/7413-elliot-wave-gold-update-23-a.html
4.
Forextraders.com:
a)
"As
gold
keeps
breaking
new
records...the
fundamental
factors
behind
the
trend
remain
clear:
-
increased
worries
about
the
solidness
of
U.S.
public
finances
-
the
lack
of
any
serious
government
plan
to
resolve
long
standing
issues
related
to
the
future
of
the
social
security
system
-
eroding
credibility
of
the
U.S.
motto
about
a
strong
dollar
-
the
general
weakness
in
the
fundamentals
of
the
global
economy"
[all
of
which
make
the]
purchasing
of
gold...a
store
of
value
that
thrives
when
uncertainty,
insecurity,
and
fear
rule
the
global
economy.
And
when
we
recall
the
never
ending
speculations
about
the
U.S.
dollar's
demise,
it
is
only
natural
that
the
metal
will
find
attention
regardless
of
the
price
tag,
until
a
bubble
develops
[but]
we
are
apparently
very
far
from
that
turning
point.
Gold
has
some
powerful
dynamics
behind
its
rise,
and
it
doesn't
seem
outlandish
to
imagine
a
target
of
$3000
-
$4000
in
the
next
5
years,
if,
as
anticipated,
economic
activity
goes
for
a
second
dip
once
the
impact
of
government
stimulation
and
private
speculation
and
bubble-building
lose
their
dominant
effects
in
the
markets."
b)
the
ten-year
long
correlation
between
gold
and
the
Euro
has
broken
down
recently
[and
it
is]
"our
expectation
that
gold
will
generate
a
super-bubble
in
the
next
2-3
years,
and
perhaps
longer,
provided
that
policy
accommodation
remains
in
place
even
as
investor
confidence
evaporates
completely."
5.
Harry
Schultz:
Harry
Schultz'
International
Harry
Schultz
Letter
(a
paid
subscription
investment
service)
has
gold
going
up
eventually
to
$6,000
saying
"We
(collectively)
are
poised
at a
heart-stopping
moment
in
economic
times.
On
the
one
extreme
side,
the
world
is
on
the
edge
of
massive
deflation
and
depression.
At
the
other
extreme
is -
hyperinflation.
My
view
is
that
both
these
extremes
are
possible.
Certainly
deflation
is,
on
balance,
in
play
today
and
gaining
ground
as
money
supply
is
actually
declining!
Hyperinflation
seems
impossible
when
there
is
not
much
inflation
in
most
economies.
But
...
hyperinflation
is a
monetary
event,
not
an
economic
one,
and
will
happen
on
an
overnight
basis,
not
via
a
general
uptrend
in
inflation
data...
As I
write,
gold
is
holding
very
near
its
high,
as
most
stock
markets
are
bungee
jumping.
This
implies
the
unexpected
hyper
is
pending,
because
if
it
were
exclusively
deflation
ahead,
gold
action
would
be
less
buoyant."
As
such
Schultz
recommends
that
one
put
40-50%
in
gold
stocks
and
bullion;
10-15%
in
other
commodities;
30-40%
in
government
notes/bills/bonds;
8-10%
in
non-gold
stocks
and
0-5%
in
bear
stock-market
protection
via
inverse
exchange-traded
funds.
6.
Egon
von
Greyerz:
von
Gruyerz,
Managing
Director
of
Zurich
Switzerland
based
Matterhorn
Asset
Management
and
founder
of
precious
metals
investment
and
storage
company
GoldSwitzerland.com
commented
in
an
interview
with
CNBC
Europe's
Squawk
Box
recently
that
the
nominal
high
of
$850
per
ounce
gold
price,
when
adjusted
for
“real
inflation”
as
per
shadowstats.com,
is
equivalent
to
approximately
$7,200
in
today’s
prices.
Accordingly,
“gold
could
easily
go
up 6
times
from
the
current
price
of
$1,220
and
still
be
within
normal
parameters.”
He
went
on
to
say
that
at
current
prices,
“There
will
be
nowhere
near
sufficient
gold
to
satisfy
demand.”
As a
result,
his
firm
is
expecting
the
gold
price
ascent
to
be
“relentless
during
the
remainder
of
2010,
with
very
few
major
corrections
but
with
high
volatility.
Moves
of
$100
in
one
day
could
easily
happen.
So
gold
is
likely
to
make
a
top
in
the
next
few
years
between
$5,000
and
$10,000.”
Source:
http://matterhornassetmanagement.com/2010/06/07/cnbc-squawk-box-interview-egon-von-greyerz-june-7/
7.
Peter
Cooper:
Cooper,
author
of a
book
entitled,
appropriately,
"Dubai
Sabbatical:
The
Road
to
$5,000
Gold,"
maintains
that
"Governments
around
the
world
have
forced
interest
rates
to
artificially
and
unsustainably
low
levels
to
combat
the
global
financial
crisis.
Low
interest
rates
mean
high
bond
prices.
Ergo,
as
soon
as
interest
rates
go
up –
as
they
will
have
to
sooner
or
later
–
bond
prices
will
fall...and
if
you
want
to
keep
your
money
out
of
bonds...then
precious
metals
and/or
cash
are
the
best
options.
The
real
kicker
for
gold,
and
even
more
for
silver
is
in
the
supply
and
demand
position.
Precious
metals
are
in
limited
supply
–
that
indeed
is
their
great
strength
as a
store
of
wealth
– so
once
the
shift
out
of
bonds
accelerates
so
will
the
price
of
gold
and
silver.
Now
government
bond
markets
are
far
bigger
than
global
stock
markets
while
precious
metals
are
amongst
the
smallest
of
major
asset
classes.
Pouring
this
quantity
of
money
into
a
very
narrow
precious
metals
market
will
send
gold
and
silver
prices
through
the
roof.
$5,000
an
ounce
for
gold
is a
very
conservative
forecast
under
these
circumstances."
Source:
http://www.arabianmoney.net/gold-silver/2010/05/12/5000-an-ounce-in-sight-as-gold-its-new-all-time-high/
8.
Rob
McEwen:
McEwen,
Chief
Executive
Officer
of
US
Gold
Corp.
and
founder
of
Goldcorp
Inc.,
believes
global
gold
prices
may
increase
to
$5,000
an
ounce
between
2012
and
2014
as
rising
U.S.
government
debt
weakens
the
dollar
saying
recently
in a
Bloomberg
Television
interview,
“Money
supply
has
expanded
so
rapidly
that
there
are
a
lot
more
dollars
looking
for
a
steady
home.
Governments
cannot
help
themselves.
They
want
to
help
the
economy.
They
are
printing
money.
They
are
going
into
debt
on a
horrific
scale,
and
that
will
depreciate
the
value
of
the
dollar.”
He
says
his
forecast
for
gold
represents
a
“once-in-every-300-years”
phenomenon
and
holds
by
his
previous
forecast
that
gold
will
rise
to
$2,000
an
ounce
by
the
end
of
this
year.
Source:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601082&sid=ajm6lryLYViQ
9.
Peter
Krauth:
Krauth,
a
highly
regarded
market
analyst
and
expert
in
metals
and
mining
stocks,
maintains
that
"
there
are
5
sound
reasons
why
gold
will
soar
to
$5,000
an
ounce,
namely:
a)
Potential
Inflation:
Since
2001
-
under
benign
price
inflation
of
roughly
2.5%
-
gold
has
managed
to
rise
about
400%.
Meanwhile,
the
U.S.
Federal
Reserve
is
widely
expected
to
keep
short-term
rates
near
zero
through
this
year,
leaving
the
door
open
for
rampant
inflation,
and
central
banks
worldwide
have
rolled
out
an
unprecedented
$12
trillion
worth
of
stimulus
programs,
with
most
of
the
money
still
to
be
spent.
b)
Exploding
Investment
Demand:
Large
institutional
investors
-
hedge
funds
and
pension
funds
-
are
making
large
allocations
to
gold,
as
are
individual
investors.
According
to
the
World
Gold
Council,
demand
advanced
15%
from
the
second
quarter
to
the
third
last
year
with
a
quickly
developing
middle
class,
whose
members
are
experiencing
rapid
escalations
in
disposable
income,
becoming
a
major
bullish
driver
for
the
price
of
gold.
c)
Central
Banks
are
Becoming
Net
Buyers:
2009
was
first
time
in
20
years.
d) A
Looming
Currency
Crisis:
The
"PIGS"
-
Portugal,
Italy,
Greece
and
Spain
(or
"PIIGS,"
if
you
want
to
include
Ireland)
-
aren't
in
very
good
fiscal
shape
-
and
they
aren't
alone.
Iceland
has
already
gone
over
the
edge.
The
United
States,
the
United
Kingdom,
and
countless
other
economies
are
struggling.
That
reality
has
ignited
a
crisis
of
confidence
about
fiat
currencies
in
the
minds
of
many
investors.
Under
such
conditions,
gold
-
the
ultimate
store
of
value,
and
the
oldest
existing
form
of
money
on
earth
-
will
soar
as
investors
seek
to
protect
their
purchasing
power.
e)
The
Mania
Stage
Has
Yet
to
Begin:
The
gold
bubble
that
takes
prices
to
all-time-record
levels
will
inflate
in
three
distinct
stages
-
currency
devaluations,
growing
investment
and
then
a
stratospheric
ascent
-
and,
make
no
mistake,
the
$5,000
price
point
will
most
likely
be
reached
in
this
third
and
final
phase."
Source:
http://moneymorning.com/2010/01/14/gold-superspike/
And
let's
not
forget:
10.
Arnold
Bock:
"No
wishful
thinking
here!
As I
see
it
gold
is
going
to a
parabolic
top
of
$10,000
by
2012
for
very
good
reasons:
a)
Sovereign
debt
defaults,
b)
Bankruptcies
of
“too
big
to
fail”
banks
and
other
financial
entities,
c)
Currency
inflation
and
devaluations,
d)
Precious
metals
market
manipulation,
e)
Insufficient
physical
supply,
and
f)
The
need
for
a
safe
haven
investment
refuge,
All
of
the
above
will
lead
to
rampant
price
inflation
and
drive
precious
metals
bullion
and
mining
stock
to
unimagined
heights."
Source:
http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/gold-going-to-parabolic-top-of-10000-by-2012-%e2%80%93-for-good-reasons/
Conclusion
So
there
you
have
it.
Many
sound
reasons
by
some
of
the
most
informed
individuals
around
who
all
contend
that
given
the
financially
troubled
and
volatile
times
we
live
in
that
gold
(and
by
implication,
silver)
is
the
place
to
be
for
an
outstanding
return
on
one’s
investment
and
to
shield
oneself
from
the
rampant
inflation
and
currency
devaluations
that
are
on
the
horizon. |